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Gold rises on renewed geopolitical risks; US inflation data in focus

By Jerry  Published On October 23, 2025

Gold prices rose over 1% on Thursday after two consecutive sessions of losses, as renewed geopolitical risks bolstered safe-haven demand and investors braced for key US inflation data due on Friday.

Spot gold was up 1.4% at US$4,149.39 per ounce, as of 11.05am ET (1505 GMT), after falling to a near two-week low in the previous session.

US gold futures for December delivery climbed 2.5% to US$4,165.80 per ounce.

Prices hit a record high of US$4,381.21 on Monday, but logged their steepest drop in five years in the following session.

“All the fundamental factors that have driven gold higher this year remain very much in place. There was some opportunistic buying on the dip and perhaps some uptick in trade and geopolitical tensions that are fostering today’s bid,” said Peter Grant, vice president and senior metals strategist at Zaner Metals.

Gold prices have gained about 57% this year, driven by geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty, expectations of rate cuts, and sustained central bank buying.

US President Donald Trump on Wednesday imposed Ukraine-related sanctions on Russia for the first time in his second term, targeting oil companies Lukoil and Rosneft.

The administration is also considering a plan to restrict a broad range of software-driven exports to China, in response to Beijing’s latest curbs on rare-earth exports.

Focus now turns to Friday’s US consumer price index report, potentially the Federal Reserve’s clearest inflation signal ahead of next week’s policy meeting. The data is expected to show that core inflation held at 3.1% in September.

Meanwhile, JP Morgan forecast gold prices could reach an average of US$5,055/oz by the fourth quarter of 2026, on assumptions that investor demand and central bank buying will average around 566 tonnes per quarter next year.

Elsewhere, spot silver rose 1.5% to US$49.25 per ounce, platinum gained 0.1% to US$1,623.99, and palladium rose 0.8% to US$1,470.71.

Source: Theedgemalaysia


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